Stars vs. Wild Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs First Round Game 6

The Minnesota Wild ready for Game 6 of the NHL Playoffs First Round Thursday against the Dallas Stars, starting at 7:30 p.m. ET on TNT. The Wild are ahead 3-2 in the series. The Wild are the favorite (-130) in this matchup with the Stars (+109).

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Here's our prediction for who will clinch the victory in this NHL Playoffs First Round contest.

Stars vs. Wild Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projection model for this contest expects a final tally of Wild 4, Stars 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Wild (-130)
• Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Stars (+1.5)

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Wild Splits and Trends

• The Wild have a 46-24-12 record overall, with a 16-13-29 record in matchups that have required overtime.
• In the 30 games Minnesota has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 17-5-8 record (good for 42 points).
• The 11 times this season the Wild finished a game with just one goal, they went 1-8-2 (four points).
• Minnesota has finished 4-10-4 in the 18 games this season when it scored two goals (registering 12 points).
• The Wild are 44-7-7 in the 58 games when they have scored at least three goals (to register 95 points).
• In the 37 games when Minnesota has scored a single power-play goal, it went 20-10-7 to record 47 points.
• In the 39 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Minnesota is 23-11-5 (51 points).
• The Wild's opponents have had more shots in 46 games. The Wild went 25-13-8 in those matchups (58 points).

Stars Splits and Trends

• The Stars have earned a record of 13-13-26 in overtime matchups on their way to an overall mark of 50-20-12.
• Dallas has earned 55 points (23-6-9) in its 38 games decided by one goal.
• This season the Stars scored just one goal in 13 games and have gone 2-8-3 (seven points).
• Dallas has earned 12 points (4-4-4 record) this season when scoring a pair of goals .
• The Stars have scored at least three goals in 59 games, earning 98 points from those contests.
• This season, Dallas has capitalized on a lone power-play goal in 35 games and picked up 54 points with a record of 26-7-2.
• When it outshoots its opponent this season, Dallas has posted a record of 26-8-3 (55 points).
• The Stars' opponents have had more shots in 46 games. The Stars finished 24-12-10 in those contests (58 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Stars vs. Wild Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Thursday, April 30, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: TNT
• Live Stream: Watch this match on HBO Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul, Minnesota

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