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The Denver Nuggets are slight 1.5-point favorites in Game 4 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Target Center on Saturday, beginning at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC. The Timberwolves lead the series 2-1.
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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Predictions for Saturday
Our computer model for this contest expects a final result of Timberwolves 118, Nuggets 117.
- Moneyline Pick: Timberwolves (+101)
- Total Pick: Over 229.5 (computer predicts 235.3 points)
- Pick ATS: Timberwolves (+1.5)
Recent Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/23/2026 | Timberwolves | -1 | 232.5 | -117 | -102 | 113-96 MIN |
| 4/20/2026 | Nuggets | -7.5 | 232.5 | -293 | +236 | 119-114 MIN |
| 4/18/2026 | Nuggets | -6.5 | 232.5 | -282 | +228 | 116-105 DEN |
| 3/1/2026 | Nuggets | -2.5 | 241.5 | -146 | +123 | 117-108 MIN |
| 12/25/2025 | Nuggets | -1.5 | 238.5 | -116 | -103 | 142-138 DEN |
| 11/15/2025 | Nuggets | -1.5 | 237 | -114 | -105 | 123-112 DEN |
| 10/27/2025 | Nuggets | -6.5 | 229.5 | -240 | +197 | 127-114 DEN |
| 4/1/2025 | Nuggets | -2 | 229.5 | -123 | +103 | 140-139 MIN |
| 3/12/2025 | Nuggets | -1.5 | 233.5 | -125 | +105 | 115-95 MIN |
| 1/25/2025 | Nuggets | -3.5 | 229.5 | -163 | +138 | 133-104 MIN |
| 11/1/2024 | Timberwolves | -4 | 219.5 | -176 | +149 | 119-116 MIN |
Nuggets 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Denver has gone 44-38-0 ATS this season.
- The Nuggets have a 27-31 record against the spread this season when favored by 1.5 points or more.
- Denver's games have gone over the point total in 51 out of 82 opportunities (62.2%).
- This season, the Nuggets have won 42 out of the 58 games, or 72.4%, in which they've been favored.
- Denver has a record of 39-15, a 72.2% win rate, when it's favored by -120 or more by oddsmakers this season.
Timberwolves 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Minnesota's ATS record is 38-44-0 this year.
- In games this season in which they were an underdog by 1.5 points or more, the Timberwolves have an 11-12 record against the spread.
- In Minnesota's 82 games with a set total, 38 have hit the over (46.3%).
- The Timberwolves have gone 8-15 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 34.8% of those games).
- Minnesota has gone 8-13 when it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +101 or longer (38.1%).
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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Injury Report
Nuggets
Nuggets:
Peyton Watson: Out (Hamstring),
Aaron Gordon: Questionable (Calf)
Timberwolves
Timberwolves:
Terrence Shannon: Day-To-Day (Illness),
Jaylen Clark: Day-To-Day (Illness),
Anthony Edwards: Day-To-Day (Undisclosed)
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Saturday, April 25, 2026
- Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ABC
- Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
- Arena: Target Center
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