The Oklahoma City Thunder are slight 3-point favorites heading into Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Target Center on Monday, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN and ESPN2. The Thunder have a 2-1 lead in the series.
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Thunder vs. Timberwolves Predictions for Monday
Our computer projections model for this matchup expects a final result of Thunder 115, Timberwolves 110.
- Moneyline Pick: Thunder (-155)
- Total Pick: Over 219 (computer predicts 224.4 points)
- Pick ATS: Thunder (-3)
Recent Thunder vs. Timberwolves Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/24/2025 | Thunder | -3 | 217.5 | -152 | +128 | 143-101 MIN |
| 5/22/2025 | Thunder | -8 | 217 | -329 | +262 | 118-103 OKC |
| 5/20/2025 | Thunder | -7 | 219 | -286 | +230 | 114-88 OKC |
| 2/24/2025 | Thunder | -11.5 | 228 | -610 | +448 | 131-128 MIN |
| 2/23/2025 | Thunder | -9 | 228 | -385 | +302 | 130-123 OKC |
| 2/13/2025 | Thunder | -9.5 | 226.5 | -455 | +351 | 116-101 MIN |
| 12/31/2024 | Thunder | -7 | 216.5 | -269 | +218 | 113-105 OKC |
| 1/29/2024 | Thunder | -2.5 | 224.5 | -139 | +118 | 107-101 MIN |
| 1/20/2024 | Timberwolves | -3 | 229 | -148 | +125 | 102-97 OKC |
| 12/26/2023 | Thunder | -2.5 | 228.5 | -135 | +115 | 129-106 OKC |
| 11/28/2023 | Timberwolves | -3 | 228.5 | -156 | +132 | 106-103 MIN |
Thunder 2024-25 Betting Trends
- So far this season, Oklahoma City has put together a 54-26-2 record against the spread.
- When they have played as at least 3-point favorites this season, the Thunder are 47-24-1 against the spread.
- The teams have hit the over in 46 of Oklahoma City's 82 games with a set total.
- The Thunder have won 66, or 83.5%, of the 79 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Oklahoma City has a record of 59-12, a 83.1% win rate, when it's favored by -155 or more by sportsbooks this season.
Timberwolves 2024-25 Betting Trends
- Minnesota is 39-43-0 against the spread this year.
- In games they have played as at least 3-point underdogs this year, the Timberwolves are 8-5 against the spread.
- Minnesota has hit the over in 44 of its 82 games with a set total (53.7%).
- The Timberwolves have won nine of the 19 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (47.4%).
- Minnesota has gone 5-8 when it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +130 or longer (38.5%).
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Thunder vs. Timberwolves Injury Report
Thunder
Thunder:
Nikola Topic: Out For Season (Acl)
Timberwolves
Timberwolves: None
Thunder vs. Timberwolves Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Monday, May 26, 2025
- Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN and ESPN2
- Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
- Arena: Target Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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