Timberwolves vs. Warriors Game 4 Predictions, Odds & Stats – May 12

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The Minnesota Timberwolves take a 2-1 series lead into Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs. The Timberwolves are favored by 4.5 points in the matchup, which airs on ESPN at 10 p.m. ET.

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Timberwolves vs. Warriors Predictions for Monday

Our computer model for this contest calls for a final score of Warriors 112, Timberwolves 111.

  • Moneyline Pick: Warriors (+166)
  • Total Pick: Over 200.5 (computer predicts 222.1 points)
  • Pick ATS: Warriors (+4.5)

Recent Timberwolves vs. Warriors Matchups

Timberwolves vs Warriors (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
5/10/2025 Timberwolves -5.5 201 -248 +202 102-97 MIN
5/8/2025 Timberwolves -10.5 201.5 -543 +404 117-93 MIN
5/6/2025 Timberwolves -6.5 210.5 -246 +200 99-88 GS
1/15/2025 Timberwolves -7 216 -269 +216 116-115 GS
12/21/2024 Timberwolves -3.5 217 -175 +147 113-103 GS
12/8/2024 Warriors -1 215.5 -113 -106 114-106 GS
12/6/2024 Timberwolves -1.5 220 -119 -100 107-90 MIN
3/24/2024 Timberwolves -1.5 220 -119 -100 114-110 MIN
11/14/2023 Timberwolves -3 216.5 -152 +126 104-101 MIN
11/12/2023 Warriors -3 222 -151 +126 116-110 MIN

Timberwolves 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Minnesota's ATS record is 39-43-0 this season.
  • The Timberwolves are 19-22 against the spread when favored by 4.5 points or more this season.
  • Minnesota has gone over in 44 of its 82 games with a set total (53.7%).
  • This season, the Timberwolves have been favored 63 times and won 40, or 63.5%, of those games.
  • This season, Minnesota has won 26 of its 37 games, or 70.3%, when favored by at least -200 on the moneyline.

Warriors 2024-25 Betting Trends

  • Golden State has gone 42-40-0 ATS this year.
  • In games this year in which they were an underdog by 4.5 points or more, the Warriors have a 9-4 record against the spread.
  • In Golden State's 82 games with a set total, 41 have hit the over (50%).
  • The Warriors have won 11 of the 27 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (40.7%).
  • Golden State has a record of 4-6 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +166 or longer (40%).

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Timberwolves vs. Warriors Injury Report

Timberwolves

Timberwolves: None

Warriors

Warriors:

Stephen Curry: Out (Hamstring)

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Monday, May 12, 2025
  • Game time: 10 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ESPN
  • Location: San Francisco, California
  • Arena: Chase Center
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)

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